1.0 INTRODUCTION:
The quarry business being proposed in this brief study is about
the establishment of a quarry site where large deposits of stone/granites will
be blasted and crushed into 'chippings' of varying sizes/Stone/granites
deposits have been identified.
The identified site will support the production of chippings for
quite a long period of time. The Reserve Deposit is estimated to last for 50
years at a yearly production of 500,000 tons/year.
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Chippings are basic inputs in road construction works, buildings,
landscaping, construction of bridges and a host of other civil engineering
works. Activities in these areas by governments, corporate entities and
individuals are presently at their peak. The situation is given a boost by the
infrastructural development policies/programmes of the three tiers of
government, especially at the State level. The market for chippings is so large
that saturation in the ne *r future is out of the question. If anything, the
quantum and tempo of infrastructural development activities is of the magnitude
that is capable of constraining supply and creating a seller's market in which
big players in the quarry business will continue to call the shots for a long
time.
Company
Limited is aware of this business opportunity and intends to exploit it.
Basic
Assumptions
This investment proposal/study, apart from
the prevailing spate of infrastructural development activities, can further be
anchored on the following critical assumptions:
1. Some
macro-economic indicators like the domestic price level and exchange rate will
remain stable, at least, in the medium term.
2. Democracy
will continue to thrive thereby engendering political stability necessary for
socio-economic growth and development.
3. The
basic raw material for the quarry business (deposits of stone) is freely
available and other necessary inputs like explosives, gas and lubricants can
easily be obtained locally.
4. The
cost of the inputs is low vis-Ã -vis the value of output and will
remain unchanged, other things being equal, in the medium term.
5. The
quarry site will enjoy a secure tenure as the land will be acquired in a manner
satisfactory to landowners/stakeholders from the community.
6. Trained
and/or trainable stone blasting/crushing operatives will be available and will
be recruited under conditions that will keep them in employment, at least, in
the medium term.
7. The
producer goods, mainly plant and equipment, are easily serviceable and will
function optimally for the first 3 years of their life, a time long enough to
generate revenues for their
eventual replacement in the ordinary course of business.
The present macro-economic indicators,
economy-wide trends, development policies and the conditions peculiar to the
quarry business provide reasonable assurance that the assumptions are realistic
and will hold. Therefore one is assured that some of the necessary conditions
for the unhindered operations of the quarry can be guaranteed.
Technical
Process
The technical
processes involved in the production of chippings are fairly straight forward.
They include:
a) Clearing
and setting up the site
b) Blasting
the boulders using explosives
c) Excavation
of boulders (big stones), using a bulldozer and excavator
d) Crushing
& Grading into appropriate sizes
e) Loading
and tipping
Operational
Structure (Staffing of the Proposed Quarry Plant)
The Management of the Quarry Plant rests with the
Chairman/Managing Director of the company and the Directors, who constitute the
Board. This board has the key role of taking policy decisions on issues
affecting the operation of the company on a routine basis. It is proposed that
the plant operations be handled by three basic departments or units, namely:
§ Production/Technical
Operations to be headed by a Production manager
§
Administrate
to be headed by an Administration Manager
§
Accounting/sales
to be headed by a qualified Accountant
Up to 40-45 workers will be recruited as
the plant becomes fully operational. Most of the employees will be drivers and
operators of the various equipment/tools. Personnel emoluments are covered
under recurrent/operating costs. The technical operatives will be given
sufficient training to enable them deliver effective and efficient service
which is in the overall interest of the company and its clients.
2.0 FINANCIAL ANALYSIS
The financial analysis of the proposed quarrying plant shall
appraise the financial projections; determine the economic production levels
with a view to justifying the financial feasibility of the proposed plant.
2.1
ASSUMPTIONS
The financial projection and viability analysis are predicted on
the following assumptions:
i. An
installed capacity of 250 tonnes of mixed chippings per hour and assumed production capacity
of 220 tonnes.
ii. Two
shifts of eight hours per shift translating to 16 No. hours per day.
iii. 250 working days per year.
Full production capacity of 80,000 tonnes of mixed chippings per
year (derived from i-iii) above
iv. Plant
operating capacities are 60%, 65% and 70% in the first, second and third year, respectively.
v. Constant
prices for other raw materials (explosives, rue! and lubricants) within the
projected period. The major raw
material, the deposits are free.
vi. Fringe
benefits such as rent allowance, transport allowance, health and insurance are
included in the salaries and wages. Wages and salaries remain fixed within the
projected period.
vii. Depreciation:
Fixed assets to be depreciated on a straight line basis as follows:
S/N
|
Description
|
Life (years)
|
Percentage
|
i.
|
Buildings
|
10
|
10
|
ii
|
Infrastructure
|
5
|
20
|
iii
|
Plant,
Machinery and Equipment
|
4
|
25
|
iv
|
Vehicles
|
4
|
25
|
v
|
Furniture and
office equipment
|
4
|
25
|
viii. Estimate
for construction were obtained from priced bill of quantities and random rates
were checked with present rates.
ix. A Contingency provision of 10% of project
cost.
(5% as physical contingency, 5% as price contingency)
x. Most
of the equipment costs were obtained directly from market surveys conducted internally
and overseas. Adequate provision was made in the cost to cover fluctuations in
the cost at time of purchase.
xi. Cost
of the installation of plants and equipment and training of personnel to handle those
plants are put 7% of the cost of equipment.
xii. Cost
of explosives is Nl00/tonne of chippings blasted while gas and lubricant is at
N250/tonne of production
xiii. Maintenance
expenses for plants and equipment are estimated at 20% of capital cost of
equipment in the first year of commercial operation and will increase annually
by 10%.
xiv. FINANCE
CHARGES
Interest on Term Loan - 15% p.a.
Interest on Bank Overdraft - 18%p.a.
Repayment Programme - 2¼ years (9 quarters)
Moratorium period - 12 months
Total life of term loan - 3¼ years
xv. Associated
revenue computations were put at very moderate values which compares favorably
with those obtained in similar quarries. Hence weighted average price of output
(mixed chippings) as at today is N2,700
per ton, ex-factory price: is put at N2,400
per ton.
xvi. Cost
of licensing and permits have been included in the pre-operational expenses.
xvii. Raw
material cost is inclusive of transportation and handling charges as well as
20% wastages.
xviii. Prevailing
tax rate of 45% is to be used.
2.2 PROJECT CAPITAL STRUCTURE
The proposal for the realization of
the required capital for the execution of the proposed Quarrying Plant is a
stated below:
Table 1
S/N
|
SOURCE
|
AMOUNT
|
% CONTRIBUTION
|
1.
|
Equity contribution and promoters
|
100,195
|
25
|
2.
|
Bank Term Loan
|
300,00
|
7514.96
|
TOTAL
(INVESTMENT COST)
|
400,195
|
100.0
|
Note:
i. Bank Term Loan Repayment - 2¼
years (i.e. 9 quarters)
ii. Moratorium Period - 12
months
iii. Total life of the loan - 3¼ years
iv. Debt/ equity ratio - 2.66.:1
v. The
N10:195m upward adjustment of equip contribution arose from increase in the
cost of plant and equipment
vi. This
pushed up the investment cost of N300.195m
2.3 REVENUE ESTIMATES
The revenue estimate is as presented
in the accompanying table:
Table 2
Year
|
Capacity Utilization (%)
|
Output ‘000 tons
|
Price Per ton (
|
Revenue
|
1.
|
60
|
528
|
2,400
|
1,267
|
2.
|
65
|
572
|
2,400
|
1,372
|
3.
|
70
|
616
|
2,400
|
1,478
|
4.
|
75
|
660
|
2,400
|
1,584
|
5.
|
75
|
660
|
2,400
|
1,584
|
Notes
i. Installed Plant capacity = 250 tons/ hour
ii. Assumed production Capacity = 220 tons/hour
iii. 2 No Shifts of 8 hours each = 16 No. hours
per day
iv. 250 working days in the year is assumed
v. From the above, full production capacity
= 220x16x250 = 880,000
vi. Ex-factory
Price = N2,700 per ton
vii. Factory Price
= N2,400 per ton
Table
3: Investment Cost Estimates
Item No.
|
Description
|
Cost
|
(A)
|
Capital
Cost
|
|
1.
|
Preoperational expenses
|
10,000
|
2.
|
Land acquisition & Community Issues
|
15,000
|
3.
|
Construction, Road and Building
|
25,000
|
4.
|
Plant and equipment including installation and training
|
300,195
|
Sub Total A
(Capital Cost)
|
||
(B)
|
Recurrent Cost/
Working Capital
|
Initial Cost
|
1.
|
Administrative expenses
|
5,000
|
2.
|
Raw Materials
|
25,000
|
3.
|
Maintenance
|
15,000
|
4.
|
Professional Fees
|
5,000
|
Sub- Total B (
Working Capital)
|
||
Total
capitalization (A+B)
|
Note: Contingency provision 10% of project cost was
accommodated in the Cost of construction.
2.4 INITIAL
WORKING CAPITAL REQUIREMENTS
The initial Working Capital
requirement of the proposed project is projected as follows:
S/N
|
ITEM
|
|
1.
|
One month stock of raw materials
|
25,000
|
2.
|
Three months of maintenance expenses
|
15,000
|
3.
|
Three months of administrative expenses
|
5,000
|
4.
|
Three months of professional fees
|
5,000
|
Total
|
Table 4: annual
depreciation provision using the Straight Line Method
S/No
|
Fixed Asset
|
Cost
|
Expected Life (yes)
|
Rate (%)
|
Amount
|
1.
|
Land
|
15,000
|
Perpetual
|
-
|
-
|
2.
|
Buildings
|
10,000
|
10
|
10
|
1,000
|
3.
|
Infrastructure
|
25,000
|
5
|
20
|
5,000
|
4.
|
Plant, Machinery &
Equipment
|
300,195
|
4
|
25
|
75,000
|
5.
|
Furniture & Office
Equipment
|
10,000
|
4
|
25
|
2,500
|
Total
|
Note: Land is on lease for 7
years.
Annual Depreciation Provision = N83.5
Table 5: Loan amortization Schedule N’000
Year/Quarter
|
Opening Balance of Principal
|
Interest Payment
|
Principal Repayment
|
Total Repayment
|
Closing Balance of Principal
|
Year 1
|
300,000
|
45,000
|
-
|
45,000
|
300,000
|
Year 2
|
|||||
1st Qts
|
300,000
|
11,25
|
33,330
|
44,580
|
266,670
|
2nd Qtr
|
266,67
|
10,00
|
35,330
|
43,330
|
233.290
|
3rd Qtr
|
233,49
|
8,74
|
33,330
|
42,070
|
19,960
|
4th Qtr
|
199,96
|
1,49
|
33,330
|
40,320
|
166,630
|
Year 3
|
|||||
1st Qtr.
|
166,63
|
6,24
|
33,330
|
39,570
|
133,330
|
2nd Qtr
|
133,33
|
4,99
|
33,330
|
38,320
|
100,000
|
3rd Qtr
|
100,00
|
3,75
|
33,330
|
37,080
|
62,920
|
4th Qtr
|
62,92
|
2,35
|
33,330
|
35,680
|
27,240
|
Year 4
|
|||||
1st Qtr
|
27.24
|
1,020
|
33,350
|
34,350
|
6.1/0
|
Assumption:
Loan Amount = N300,000,000
Interest Rate = 15% p.a.
Repayment Period = 2
¼ Years (i.e. Nine quarters)
Grace Period = 12 months
1st Year: = June 2008- May 31, 2009
Note: summary of
Interest deductions on long term loan.
1st Year = N37.5m
2nd Year = N17.3m
3rd Year: = N1.02m
Table 7: Capital Allowance Schedule
S/No
|
Items
|
Year 1
|
Year 2
|
Year 3
|
Year 4
|
1
|
BUILDINGS
|
||||
Cost/Written Down Value
|
10,000
|
7,500
|
6,750
|
6,075
|
|
Less (a) Initial Allowance 15%
|
1,500
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
(b) Annual Allowance 10%
|
30,008
|
22,500
|
20,200
|
18,200
|
|
Written Down Value
|
7,500
|
6,750
|
6,075
|
5,468
|
|
2
|
Plant Machinery and Equipment
|
||||
Cost/Written Down Value
|
300,000
|
225,000
|
202,500
|
182,300
|
|
Less (a) Initial Allowance 15%
|
45,000
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
(b) Annual Allowance 10%
|
30,008
|
22,500
|
20,200
|
18,200
|
|
Written Down Value
|
225,600
|
202,500
|
182,300
|
164,100
|
|
3.
|
Infrastructure
|
||||
Cost/ Written Down Value
|
25,000
|
18,750
|
16,880
|
15,200
|
|
Less (a) Initial Allowance 15%
|
3,750
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
(b) Annual Allowance 10%
|
2,500
|
1,8700
|
1,680
|
1,520
|
|
Written Down Value
|
18,750
|
16,880
|
15,200
|
13.68
|
|
4.
|
Furniture and Office Equipment
|
10,000
|
7,5000
|
6,750
|
6,075
|
Cost/ Written Down Value
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
||
Less (a) Initial Allowance 15%
|
1,500
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
(b) Annual Allowance 10%
|
1,000
|
750
|
675
|
607
|
|
Written Down Value
|
7,500
|
6,750
|
6,075
|
5,468
|
|
CAPITAL
ALLOWANCE (1-5 ABOVE)
|
86,250
|
25,870
|
23,230
|
20,934
|
TABLE 8: PROJECTED PROFIT AND LOSS STATEMENT
Year
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
Capacity Utilization (%)
|
60
|
65
|
70
|
75
|
Output (‘000tons
Price Per ton (
|
528
|
572
|
616
|
660
|
Gross Sales (
|
1,267,200
|
1,372,860
|
1,478,900
|
1,584,000
|
Less sales expresses (1%)
|
12,610
|
13.700
|
14,900
|
15,800
|
Less Excise Duty (5%)
|
63,300
|
68,60
|
73,90
|
79,20
|
Less Direct Expenses (Labour,
raw material & maintenance)
|
218,740
|
301,840
|
325,160
|
348,480
|
Overhead (20% of Administrative expenses)
|
||||
Depreciation
|
83,300
|
83,300
|
83,300
|
83,300
|
Principal on Loan
|
-
|
133,300
|
153,300
|
27,400
|
Additional Capital Cost
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
Profit before Interest & Tax
|
839,260
|
773,320
|
825,140
|
1,029,800
|
(PBIT)
|
||||
Profit before tax (PBT)
|
839,260
|
773,320
|
825,140
|
1,029,800
|
Add back depreciation
|
83,300
|
83,300
|
85,300
|
83,300
|
Less capital Allowance
|
86,250
|
25,870
|
23,230
|
20,934
|
Taxable Income
|
836,31
|
830,750
|
885,210
|
1,092,166
|
Less 45% Corporation tax
|
376,33
|
373,830
|
398,344
|
491,474
|
Profit after Tax
|
459,977
|
456,920
|
487,406
|
538,326
|
2.6 Recurrent
Cost Items:
Recurrent
Costs are made up of raw materials, maintenance expenses, Administrative and
Overhead Costs and Professional fees.
Administrative Expenses
Administrative
expenses here include:
(a)
Staff Salaries
(b)
Rents and rates
(c)
Traveling
(d)
Licenses and
Permits
(e)
Advertisement and
entertainment
Professional Fees:
Consist of the following:
(a)
Legal and
Professional fees
(b)
Audit fees
(c)
Management fees
(d)
Director’s
remuneration (transport inclusive)
ECONOMIC VIABILITY ANALYSIS
The principal indicators used in determining the
viability of projects are the payback period (PBP), the internal rate of return
(IRR), the Net present Value (NPV) and Cost- Benefit ratio (CBR) for the
proposed project, we are constrained to use the payback period only.
By way of definition, the payback period represents
the time period it takes a plant (i.e proposed period) to recoup its original
capital outlay. In table 7, the profit and loss statement indicates that a
total sum of N354.9million will accrue
as profit after tax from the project within two years of operation. Since the
initial capital investment is N300.20million,
it implies that the proposed project could payback itself before the expiration
of two years. This goes to show the high profitability of the proposed plant.
Continuing, 45% corporate tax has been applied, not only as a matter of
convention, but also in a bid to exercise all necessary precautions in the
absence of which there would be a tendency to overestimate the profit accruing
to the investor(s). the possibility also exists that the plant might benefit
from a one-year tax moratorium being incentive the government normally gives to
SMEs. If the latter situation applies, the original Capital outlay could be
recouped in about sixteen months.
APPENDIX 1
PLANT AND
EQUIPMENT
S/N
|
ITEM
|
NO REQUIRED
|
UNIT COST
|
TOTAL COST
|
||
INITIAL
|
FINAL
|
INITIAL
|
FINAL
|
|||
1.
|
150 tons crusher
|
1
|
1
|
120,000
|
120,000
|
120,000
|
2.
|
650 KVA generator
|
1
|
2
|
16,000
|
16,000
|
32,000
|
3.
|
CAT excavator (320,325)
|
1
|
2
|
16,000
|
16,000
|
32,000
|
4.
|
CAT D8K Bulldozer
|
1
|
1
|
18,000
|
18,000
|
18,000
|
5.
|
CAT 966 Wheel Loader
|
1
|
2
|
12,000
|
12,000
|
24,000
|
6.
|
CAT 980 Wheel Loader
|
1
|
2
|
14,000
|
14,000
|
28,000
|
7.
|
Drill Wagon
|
1
|
2
|
5,000
|
5,000
|
10,000
|
8.
|
Compressor 750
|
1
|
1
|
1200
|
1,260
|
1,200
|
9.
|
Jack Hammer
|
1
|
2
|
100
|
100
|
200
|
10.
|
60 ton Weighbridge
|
1
|
1
|
4,000
|
4,000
|
4,000
|
11.
|
CAT Dumper Trucks
|
2
|
3
|
6,000
|
12,000
|
18,000
|
12.
|
100 KVA Generator
|
1
|
1
|
4,000
|
4,000
|
4,000
|
13.
|
Oxy-Acetylene Set
|
1
|
1
|
150
|
150
|
150
|
14.
|
Arc welding set
|
1
|
2
|
800
|
800
|
1,600
|
15.
|
Tools
|
1
|
2
|
200
|
200
|
400
|
16.
|
Maul Trucks
|
5
|
10
|
10,000
|
50,000
|
100,000
|
17.
|
Toyota Pick-up
|
2
|
3
|
2,000
|
4,000
|
6,000
|
Staff Bus 508
|
1
|
2
|
2,000
|
2,000
|
4,000
|
|
Add 7% for installation
|
20,745
|
403,550
|
||||
Base Total
|
300,195
|
431,798
|
Source: Available
BOQ by some operators in the industry and
market surveys & Research
Note:
Additional Capital cost = N431.798
less N309,195m = N131,603
APPENDIX II
(A) DETAILED ESTIMATE OF SOME CAPITAL COST
S/N
|
ITEMS
|
||
A (LAND)
|
TOTAL COST
|
||
INITIAL
|
FINIAL
|
||
i.
|
Land Acquisition/ community Issues
|
9,000
|
13,000
|
ii.
|
Compensation
|
2,500
|
2,500
|
iii.
|
Survey and documentation
|
2,500
|
4,500
|
iv.
|
Relocation
|
7,000
|
5,000
|
Sub-Total (A)
|
15m
|
25,000m
|
(B) BUILDING
ITEM
|
INITIAL COST
|
|
Workshop
|
6,000
|
|
Administrative Building
|
6,000
|
|
Gate, Gate House and part fencing
|
4,000
|
|
Magazines (store house for explosives
|
5,000
|
|
Fuel Dump, Pump and Tank
|
4,000
|
|
Sub-Total (B)
|
25m
|
|
(C)
PRE-OPERATIONAL EXPENSES
|
INITIAL COST
|
|
Office Accommodation and furniture and temporary workers
quarters
|
2,000
|
|
Project vehicles
|
4,000
|
|
Licensing and Permits
|
2,000
|
|
Consultancy
|
2,000
|
|
Sub-Total (C)
|
10m
|
|
(D)
INFRASTRUCTURE
|
INITIAL COST
|
|
(i)
|
(a) Access Roads
and Drains
|
|
|
2,000
|
|
|
4,000
|
|
|
2,000
|
|
|
3,500
|
|
SUB-TOTAL
|
12,000
|
|
(ii)
|
(b) Water
Supply
|
|
|
500,000
|
|
|
1,000,000
|
|
|
300,000
|
|
|
200,000
|
|
SUB- TOTAL
|
2,000,000
|
|
|
||
|
||
|
200,000
|
|
|
800,000
|
|
SUB- TOTAL
|
1,000
|
|
Total
(A+B+C+D)
|
5,000,000
|
APPENDIX III
Explanatory note:
Estimation of labour, raw materials and
maintenance expenses
Assumption: Cost of explosives = N1000 per ton
Cost of lubricants = N250
per ton
Total cost of raw
materials per ton = N350
For maintenance
expenses see xiii para. 2 1 p.6
Note that the 1st
year provision = output multiplied by cost of raw materials (explosives and
lubricants) per ton plus provision for maintenance expenses and personnel cost.
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